Thursday, July 12, 2007

Forecast 6

Only a few days till the trip!

Let's see what la-la land the models are up to today.

July 15 (Pat's birthday): Melita, MB (GEM), Emerson, MB (GFS) or Grand Forks, ND/Red Deer, AB (ECMWF).
July 16: Williston, ND (GEM), Yorkton, SK (GFS) or Saskatoon, SK (ECMWF).
July 17: Repositioning (GEM), Lethbridge, AB (GFS) or Lethbridge, AB (ECMWF).
July 18: Missoula, MT (GEM), Medicine Hat, AB (GFS) or Lethbridge, AB (ECMWF).
July 19: Havre, MT (GEM) or Glasgow, MT (GFS).

Still no agreement. And rest assured, the places where the good (read: bad) storms will be will certainly not be where the models have pegged them now. Maybe one day here, one day there, but consistently? Forget it. That's why we go back to my old favourite, and let's say it all together now: analysis, diagnosis, prognosis.


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