This weekend

Model land is an interesting (and often wrong) place. I think I've made that point plenty, especially in the days leading up to a storm chase.

But the general consensus is pointing to a fairly good storm moving across the eastern prairies on Saturday and Saturday night. There's not enough consensus, however, to go all-out on the details. One model solution takes the major snowfall (15 cm or so) right over Winnipeg. Another takes it farther north and leaves Winnipeg with a couple of hours of snowfall and then a dry slot.

This storm looks to have it all. Well, most of it--warm front precipitation, a heavier burst on the cold front, and deformation zone stuff smacking areas farther north. Phase could be problematic, and the winds, both before and after frontal passage, could be pretty strong.

Whatever happens, it'll be an interesting storm to follow. Bulletins may be issued tomorrow.

Redesign on the way, and a clean Canada

A couple of things.

First off, I'm trying to redesign the Weather Central home page (and eventually spilling over to the sub-pages) and I'll debut it soon. Any suggestions, please let me know.

Second, for the first time in a long time (probably), Canada is warning-less. Check it out:

Flooding in Missouri

Or is that Missoura?

Anyhow, Cape Girardeau, KCGI, got a whole bunch of rain yesterday. I was watching the observations and could hardly believe them--to the point where I thought the station itself was malfunctioning.

I saw 6-hour rainfall amounts, in hundredths of an inch, and they were, in chronological order from the onset of the rain:

374
267
339
165
62
32

Total: 12.39 inches (and it's still raining, albeit lightly, as of this posting)

So in the first 24 hours of the event (the most intense part) they got 11.45 inches of rain. That translates into 291 mm. Wow.

In completely unrelated news, my favourite stations in Siberia are not cold now. They're having highs around -3°C, so that tells me that, over the next couple of weeks at least, brutal cold isn't coming. Despite the temperatures being around -40 in the eastern Arctic. So then a few weeks on we'll be into real spring (as opposed to astronomical spring), and summer is never far behind in this part of the world!

I know it's raining a lot there today, but...

Ardmore, Oklahoma:

KADM 181855Z 01028G35KMH 7SM +TSRAFT SCT028 BKN070 OVC080 12/11 A2972=