Sunday, June 26, 2011

Day 4 forecast

Today is a frustrating forecast and potentially huge day.

The parameters are becoming more clear with time, though. We saw multiple storm clusters this morning potentially messing up things, but we can now see, per the LNX 88D, the composite outflow/warm front is already lifting back northward. It appears this will be the main focus for today. The question in my mind, now, is whether the storms currently going will reintensify along this boundary or if things will die out, cook all afternoon and blast off later. If it's the former scenario, we're going to be playing catch-up for a couple of hours, as we're currently in Chadron, Nebraska. If it's the latter, we are repositioning for the nicest area. Valentine is our first stop.

The theta-e axis is currently aiming to Alliance and around there, and will likely move east throughout the day, so I suspect the zone of terror will be near the boundary in a corridor from Thetford-Yankton-Albion corridor.

I will try to update throughout the day, thinking out loud (so to speak) but I can't make any promises.


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